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Approximate Probability Statements about Life Annuity Costs
Approximate Probability Statements about Life Annuity Costs The objective of this paper from the Transactions ... time until death, and a fixed interest rate. Annuity reserves;Assumptions;Monte Carlo simulation; 1911 ...- Authors: James C Hickman, Robert L Fretwell
- Date: Apr 1964
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Annuities; Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Notes on Bayesian Graduation
insurance premiums requires estimates of a set of mortality, interest, and expense parameters. In fixing ... science in the estimation of mortality parameters. Observed mortality probabilities often exhibit irregularities ...- Authors: James C Hickman, Donald A Jones, Thomas G Kabele, Stuart Klugman, Steven F McKay, Robert B Miller, Harwood Rosser
- Date: Oct 1977
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
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Dividend Formulas in Group Insurance
FORMULAS IN GROUP INSURANCE D()NALD A. JONES AND HANS U. GERBER* ABSTRACT The paper discusses the optimal ... common dividend formula is of the form D -- (kP - S)+, guaranteeing dividends equal to the excess * ...- Authors: Hans U Gerber, James C Hickman, Donald A Jones, John A Mereu
- Date: Oct 1974
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Adjusting Multiple-Decrement Tables
Adjusting Multiple-Decrement Tables In this paper a new method of adjusting probabilities of death for short ... one of the forces of decrement, is developed. Mortality risk; 2125 11/1/1970 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: James C Hickman, John M Krall
- Date: Nov 1970
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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A Linear Programming Approach to Graduation
graduation [9]. In that method, graduated values u,, a" = 1, 2, . . . , n, are sought corresponding ... values u'-' and nonnegative weightsw, that minimize the quantity F -]- OS, where F = Y~"x.1 w,(u," -- ...- Authors: James C Hickman, Stuart Klugman, Robert B Miller, Donald R Schuette, Harwood Rosser, Thomas N E Greville
- Date: Oct 1978
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Discussion of Papers Presented at Earlier Regional Meeting
FUNCTIONS AS EXPECTED VALUES sented by a mortality table, with level annual premiums/5 payable con- ... to have been largely overlooked, is to use a mortality function such as l~4t or ~p~ as an integrating ...- Authors: Barnet N Berin, Joseph J Gayda, James C Hickman, Donald A Lockwood, John E Morrill, Cecil J Nesbitt, Christopher C Street, Paulette Tino, David S Williams
- Date: May 1971
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Life Insurance; Pensions & Retirement>Defined benefit plans
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Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
distributions shifting over time is provided by annuity * Mr. Mitler, not a member of the Society, is ... FORECASTING mortality. The experimental evidence of this century is very convincing that annuity mortality ...- Authors: James C Hickman, Robert B Miller, Frank Reynolds, Richard W Ziock
- Date: Oct 1973
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis
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A Statistical Approach to Premiums and Reserves in Multiple Decrement Theory
outline of the continuous model risk theory with mortality as cause of decrement. To my mind, there has ... i 'x), 1 <_ s <_ n, where ,L(t , i :x) =0( l <t<s) = v 'B ~Ox÷, -v~1(8-1v+P) ( t=s , i= 1 ,2 ...- Authors: James C Hickman, Cecil J Nesbitt
- Date: Jun 1964
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
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The Dynamics of Pension Funding: Contribution Theory
represented by the function s(x) for a member aged x, a < x < r. The function s(x) captures the merit component ... h(t + r -- x) = g~(t + r -- x)g2(t + r - x) l~s(r )b . For x > r, h(t + r -- x) is the density ...- Authors: Newton L Bowers, James C Hickman, Cecil J Nesbitt
- Date: Oct 1979
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Pensions & Retirement>Assumptions and methods; Pensions & Retirement>Funding
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The Unfunded Present Value Family of Pension Funding Methods
after called the benefit ratio and the fund ratio, s respectively. Then the funding family proposed is ... beginning at their ultimate levels B= ~l . r r--I s v = 22 l , . , - , I 221,. t~ r The initial ...- Authors: William A Dreher, James C Hickman, Malcolm D MacKinnon, Cecil J Nesbitt, Donald R Sondergeld, Robert C Tookey, Charles L. Trowbridge, Dorrance C. Bronson, Harwood Rosser
- Date: Mar 1963
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Pensions & Retirement>Assumptions and methods; Pensions & Retirement>Defined benefit plans; Pensions & Retirement>Funding